League Two round 39

Barnet vs Darlington FC analysis

Barnet Darlington FC
53 ELO 53
-0.7% Tilt 7.7%
2895º General ELO ranking 5430º
91º Country ELO ranking 211º
ELO win probability
46.3%
Barnet
26.8%
Draw
26.9%
Darlington FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
Barnet
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.9%
Win probability
Darlington FC
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barnet
+12%
+15%
Darlington FC

ELO progression

Barnet
Darlington FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barnet
Barnet
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2006
POS
Peterborough United
2 - 2
Barnet
BAR
49%
25%
26%
51 55 4 0
11 Mar. 2006
GRI
Grimsby Town
3 - 0
Barnet
BAR
53%
25%
23%
53 58 5 -2
04 Mar. 2006
BAR
Barnet
2 - 2
Wrexham AFC
WRE
36%
26%
38%
53 56 3 0
28 Feb. 2006
LEY
Leyton Orient
0 - 0
Barnet
BAR
57%
23%
20%
52 58 6 +1
25 Feb. 2006
BAR
Barnet
1 - 2
Carlisle United
CUM
35%
27%
38%
53 60 7 -1

Matches

Darlington FC
Darlington FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2006
DAR
Darlington FC
0 - 5
Carlisle United
CUM
36%
27%
37%
55 60 5 0
11 Mar. 2006
DAR
Darlington FC
1 - 0
Chester
CHE
55%
25%
21%
54 48 6 +1
25 Feb. 2006
LEY
Leyton Orient
1 - 0
Darlington FC
DAR
56%
24%
20%
55 58 3 -1
18 Feb. 2006
DAR
Darlington FC
0 - 1
Shrewsbury Town
STF
49%
26%
25%
56 53 3 -1
14 Feb. 2006
POS
Peterborough United
2 - 1
Darlington FC
DAR
46%
27%
27%
56 55 1 0