League Two round 1

Barnet vs Bristol Rovers analysis

Barnet Bristol Rovers
58 ELO 55
6.1% Tilt 8.5%
2898º General ELO ranking 2102º
91º Country ELO ranking 68º
ELO win probability
56.4%
Barnet
23.3%
Draw
20.2%
Bristol Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
Barnet
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.2%
Win probability
Bristol Rovers
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barnet
+21%
-6%
Bristol Rovers

ELO progression

Barnet
Bristol Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barnet
Barnet
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2005
DAG
Dagenham & Redbridge
2 - 0
Barnet
BAR
34%
25%
41%
59 52 7 0
19 Apr. 2005
BAR
Barnet
1 - 1
Carlisle United
CUM
56%
23%
21%
59 55 4 0
16 Apr. 2005
MOR
Morecambe
1 - 1
Barnet
BAR
41%
25%
34%
59 55 4 0
09 Apr. 2005
BAR
Barnet
3 - 1
FC Halifax Town
HAL
61%
22%
17%
58 50 8 +1
02 Apr. 2005
NOR
Northwich Victoria
2 - 0
Barnet
BAR
27%
25%
48%
59 42 17 -1

Matches

Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2005
BRO
Bristol Rovers
1 - 0
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
47%
27%
26%
54 54 0 0
30 Apr. 2005
SCU
Scunthorpe United
4 - 0
Bristol Rovers
BRO
55%
24%
21%
55 58 3 -1
23 Apr. 2005
BRO
Bristol Rovers
2 - 0
Swansea City
SWA
42%
26%
32%
54 57 3 +1
16 Apr. 2005
CHE
Chester
2 - 2
Bristol Rovers
BRO
44%
27%
29%
54 51 3 0
09 Apr. 2005
BRO
Bristol Rovers
3 - 0
Rushden & Diamonds
RUS
55%
25%
21%
53 49 4 +1