Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 9-5
Barcelona vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
RUN
2 - 3
FCB
37%
23%
41%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
FCB
7 - 0
PAT
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 44 | 41 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
FCB
2 - 2
EUR
87%
9%
4%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1928 |
RSO
5 - 4
FCB
39%
23%
38%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
ISC
0 - 1
FCB
23%
22%
55%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
OVI
6 - 0
RUD
85%
9%
5%
|
71 | 20 | 51 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
OVI
5 - 3
LEO
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
RAC
1 - 5
OVI
20%
22%
58%
|
71 | 33 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1928 |
CEL
7 - 2
OVI
66%
18%
16%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
OVI
4 - 0
DEP
56%
21%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |