Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
Barcelona vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
OVI
3 - 0
FCB
15%
22%
63%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
ATM
3 - 0
FCB
26%
24%
50%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
FCB
0 - 3
MLL
81%
12%
7%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
CHL
3 - 1
FCB
31%
26%
44%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
FCB
3 - 0
VCF
72%
17%
12%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
SHW
1 - 0
CHL
23%
27%
50%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
CHL
2 - 1
COV
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
NEW
1 - 2
CHL
39%
27%
34%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
CHL
3 - 1
FCB
31%
26%
44%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
LEE
0 - 1
CHL
41%
27%
32%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |