Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
UDL
0 - 0
FCB
5%
12%
84%
|
100 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2025 |
FCB
1 - 0
RAY
86%
10%
4%
|
100 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SEV
1 - 4
FCB
8%
15%
77%
|
100 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
VCF
0 - 5
FCB
8%
15%
78%
|
100 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
FCB
1 - 0
ALA
86%
10%
4%
|
100 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
VCF
0 - 3
ATM
16%
23%
62%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 1
CEL
71%
18%
11%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
71%
17%
12%
|
98 | 100 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
ATM
5 - 0
GET
78%
15%
7%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ATM
2 - 0
MLL
76%
16%
8%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |