Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1926 |
FCB
2 - 1
RUN
79%
12%
8%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1926 |
FCB
3 - 0
RMA
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
RMA
1 - 5
FCB
45%
23%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
FCB
3 - 0
ZAR
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
LEV
1 - 4
FCB
17%
21%
61%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1926 |
ATM
3 - 2
CEL
65%
19%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1926 |
ESP
2 - 3
ATM
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1926 |
ATM
2 - 0
ESP
58%
20%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
ESP
6 - 1
ATM
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1926 |
ATM
4 - 2
BET
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |