Barcelona vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
28.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
FCB
3 - 2
VCF
46%
21%
34%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
VCF
1 - 2
FCB
73%
14%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
FCB
3 - 2
ESP
59%
19%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
ESP
2 - 3
FCB
59%
19%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
FCB
3 - 0
SEV
56%
20%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
VAD
3 - 0
ATH
30%
22%
48%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
ATH
6 - 1
VAD
87%
8%
5%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1942 |
ATH
2 - 1
RMA
66%
17%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
ATH
2 - 1
RMA
64%
17%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATH
67%
17%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |