Barcelona vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
EUR
1 - 1
FCB
27%
23%
51%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1929 |
FCB
1 - 0
RSO
76%
14%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
FCB
4 - 0
ATM
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1929 |
RMA
0 - 1
FCB
50%
21%
29%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1929 |
FCB
5 - 1
RAC
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
ATH
2 - 1
RUN
69%
16%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1929 |
EUR
1 - 1
ATH
13%
16%
71%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
ATH
2 - 3
ARE
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1929 |
ATH
0 - 0
RAC
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1929 |
ESP
4 - 1
ATH
57%
21%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |