Barbadás vs Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SIL
3 - 2
BAR
34%
26%
41%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
CHO
50%
25%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOU
47%
26%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RIB
1 - 2
BAR
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 1
BAR
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NEG
1 - 3
RIB
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
NEG
55%
23%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
NEG
3 - 2
BER
35%
27%
38%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
NEG
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NEG
0 - 2
CER
27%
26%
47%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |