Baraunas vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
ARN
4 - 1
BAR
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GLO
2 - 1
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
BAR
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 3
ABC
15%
25%
60%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
POT
3 - 2
ALE
42%
26%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 1
GLO
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ABC
2 - 0
ALE
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 2
ARN
14%
22%
64%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FEL
1 - 3
ALE
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |