Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Barakaldo vs CD Logroñés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
LUG
3 - 1
BAR
33%
29%
37%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
ATH
0 - 0
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
BAR
1 - 0
PON
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
LEM
0 - 2
BAR
25%
30%
45%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
BAR
1 - 0
LAR
80%
15%
5%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
LOG
2 - 2
TAL
78%
17%
5%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
SAL
0 - 2
LOG
38%
32%
30%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
LOG
3 - 1
ZAM
75%
18%
6%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
GDE
0 - 0
LOG
58%
26%
16%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
LOG
4 - 3
RMC
70%
21%
8%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |