Barajas vs Chamartin Vergara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
49%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+252%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barajas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
SHC
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
BAR
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 0
FUN
59%
20%
21%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VDB
2 - 2
BAR
77%
13%
9%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
SMA
32%
23%
45%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chamartin Vergara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 0
VRO
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SHC
4 - 2
CHA
24%
19%
57%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
COL
37%
22%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FUN
4 - 5
CHA
19%
18%
63%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
VDB
38%
20%
42%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |