Rio Cup Last 16
Global 3-2
Bangu vs Serrano FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
11%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
SFC
1 - 1
BAN
13%
18%
69%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BAN
1 - 1
VIL
53%
26%
21%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
BAN
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
DES
2 - 2
BAN
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 1
DES
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
SFC
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
SFC
1 - 1
BAN
13%
18%
69%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
FRI
2 - 0
SFC
77%
16%
8%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
SFC
0 - 1
PET
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 0
SFC
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |