Bangu vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
67.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
BAN
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
BON
0 - 2
BAN
35%
27%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 1
MAD
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
RES
1 - 0
BAN
58%
22%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 2
AME
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 0
BON
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
VOL
2 - 2
BOT
16%
24%
60%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
BOA
72%
19%
10%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
ATM
27%
27%
47%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
BOT
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |