WC Qual. Asia Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-6
Bangladesh vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
BGD
0 - 3
KGZ
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BGD
1 - 1
KHM
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2007 |
IND
1 - 0
BGD
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BGD
0 - 2
SYR
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
HKG
2 - 0
BGD
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
KAZ
1 - 1
TJK
68%
19%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
TJK
2 - 3
AZE
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
KAZ
4 - 1
TJK
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
LKA
0 - 4
TJK
27%
25%
49%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
KGZ
0 - 2
TJK
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |