Bangladesh vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
70.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
AUS
7 - 0
BGD
91%
7%
1%
|
38 | 88 | 50 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BGD
2 - 1
MDV
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
MDV
1 - 1
BGD
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BGD
1 - 1
AFG
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BGD
0 - 0
AFG
19%
21%
59%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
LBN
0 - 0
PLE
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
UAE
2 - 1
LBN
77%
16%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
MNE
3 - 2
LBN
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
LBN
0 - 0
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
LBN
1 - 0
MDV
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |