National League North round 28

Banbury United vs Leamington analysis

Banbury United Leamington
46 ELO 35
-3.3% Tilt -4.4%
7979º General ELO ranking 4638º
367º Country ELO ranking 166º
ELO win probability
72.2%
Banbury United
18.3%
Draw
9.5%
Leamington

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
Banbury United
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.5%
Win probability
Leamington
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Banbury United
+30%
-2%
Leamington

Points and table prediction

Banbury United
Their league position
Leamington
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
17º
17º
46
23º
23º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
23º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fylde
93
93
100%
Kings Lynn Town
91
91
100%
Chester
81
84
100%
Alfreton Town
69
69
0%
Brackley Town
69
69
26.5%
Scarborough Athletic
68
68
52.5%
Chorley
67
67
0%
Buxton
67
67
0%
Kidderminster Harriers
11º
66
67
100%
Gloucester City
66
66
10º
100%
Curzon Ashton
10º
66
66
11º
0%
Spennymoor Town
12º
66
66
12º
0%
Darlington FC
13º
64
65
13º
100%
Peterborough Sports
14º
57
58
14º
100%
Hereford
15º
55
56
15º
100%
Boston United
16º
54
54
16º
100%
Banbury United
17º
54
54
17º
100%
Southport
18º
51
51
18º
100%
Farsley Celtic
19º
51
51
19º
100%
Kettering Town
20º
49
50
20º
100%
Blyth Spartans
21º
47
48
21º
100%
Bradford Park Avenue
22º
47
47
22º
100%
Leamington
23º
46
46
23º
100%
AFC Telford United
24º
33
33
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Banbury United
Leamington
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Banbury United
Leamington
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Banbury United
Banbury United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
BAN
Banbury United
2 - 2
Farsley Celtic
FAR
57%
23%
20%
47 41 6 0
21 Feb. 2023
BAN
Banbury United
0 - 1
Kings Lynn Town
KIN
44%
25%
32%
48 47 1 -1
18 Feb. 2023
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
0 - 2
Banbury United
BAN
36%
26%
38%
47 44 3 +1
11 Feb. 2023
BAN
Banbury United
0 - 1
Gateshead
GAT
37%
24%
39%
48 48 0 -1
04 Feb. 2023
BAN
Banbury United
0 - 3
Kettering Town
KET
67%
20%
13%
49 39 10 -1

Matches

Leamington
Leamington
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
SCA
Scarborough Athletic
4 - 1
Leamington
LEA
72%
18%
10%
37 45 8 0
21 Feb. 2023
AFC
AFC Telford United
1 - 1
Leamington
LEA
34%
25%
40%
37 30 7 0
18 Feb. 2023
LEA
Leamington
2 - 1
Darlington FC
DAR
13%
21%
66%
35 46 11 +2
14 Feb. 2023
LEA
Leamington
0 - 1
Buxton
BUX
24%
26%
50%
36 42 6 -1
11 Feb. 2023
BRA
Bradford Park Avenue
3 - 1
Leamington
LEA
49%
24%
27%
37 36 1 -1