BFA vs Nevezis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
59.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
BFA
2 - 1
DAI
13%
19%
69%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BFA
0 - 2
LIE
24%
23%
54%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
STU
3 - 2
BFA
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
HLI
4 - 1
BFA
59%
21%
19%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
SAK
2 - 1
BFA
12%
16%
72%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
Nevezis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 0
NEV
16%
19%
65%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
NEV
5 - 1
KUP
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
NEV
1 - 1
PAK
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 1
NEV
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
NEV
1 - 2
PAN
37%
25%
39%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |