1. Lyga round 28

BFA vs Kauno Žalgiris II analysis

BFA Kauno Žalgiris II
51 ELO 44
5.1% Tilt 4.7%
3843º General ELO ranking 4958º
21º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
56.9%
BFA
21.6%
Draw
21.5%
Kauno Žalgiris II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
BFA
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.5%
Win probability
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BFA
-25%
-27%
Kauno Žalgiris II

ELO progression

BFA
Kauno Žalgiris II
Panevėžys II
FK Tauras Taurage
Atmosfera
Banga II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BFA
BFA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jun. 2024
FKT
FK Tauras Taurage
4 - 0
BFA
BFA
31%
23%
46%
51 43 8 0
16 Jun. 2024
BFA
BFA
7 - 0
FK Siauliai 2
SIA
58%
21%
21%
50 43 7 +1
02 Jun. 2024
BFA
BFA
3 - 3
Panevėžys II
PAN
50%
24%
26%
50 47 3 0
25 May. 2024
ATM
Atmosfera
1 - 1
BFA
BFA
36%
24%
40%
50 46 4 0
18 May. 2024
BFA
BFA
2 - 2
Banga II
FKB
69%
18%
13%
50 34 16 0

Matches

Kauno Žalgiris II
Kauno Žalgiris II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jun. 2024
FKK
Kauno Žalgiris II
2 - 2
Garliava
GKA
46%
24%
31%
45 46 1 0
16 Jun. 2024
FKE
Ekranas Panevezys
2 - 0
Kauno Žalgiris II
FKK
58%
22%
20%
46 53 7 -1
03 Jun. 2024
SIA
FK Siauliai 2
4 - 4
Kauno Žalgiris II
FKK
49%
23%
28%
46 45 1 0
26 May. 2024
FKT
FK Tauras Taurage
5 - 0
Kauno Žalgiris II
FKK
37%
24%
39%
48 36 12 -2
20 May. 2024
FKK
Kauno Žalgiris II
2 - 0
Panevėžys II
PAN
37%
23%
40%
46 49 3 +2