Torneo Regional Federal Amateur 1/16
Global 5-5
Balonpié Bolívar vs Estudiantes Olavarría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balonpié Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BBF
0 - 2
FER
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BBF
3 - 3
DAI
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
COM
0 - 2
BBF
29%
22%
50%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
FER
2 - 0
BBF
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DAI
2 - 2
BBF
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CEO
1 - 1
FRR
48%
22%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RPA
0 - 5
CEO
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FRR
0 - 0
CEO
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CEO
3 - 2
RPA
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
CEO
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |