NIFL Premiership round 27

Ballymena United vs Donegal Celtic analysis

Ballymena United Donegal Celtic
54 ELO 45
10.5% Tilt 10.9%
2706º General ELO ranking 24346º
15º Country ELO ranking 77º
ELO win probability
68.7%
Ballymena United
18.7%
Draw
12.6%
Donegal Celtic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
Ballymena United
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.6%
Win probability
Donegal Celtic
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Ballymena United
Donegal Celtic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ballymena United
Ballymena United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2013
GLE
Glenavon
7 - 0
Ballymena United
BAL
45%
24%
31%
55 51 4 0
16 Feb. 2013
BAL
Ballymena United
0 - 1
Coleraine
COL
39%
26%
35%
56 62 6 -1
09 Feb. 2013
BAL
Ballymena United
2 - 3
Coleraine
COL
37%
24%
40%
57 61 4 -1
02 Feb. 2013
LIN
Linfield
2 - 2
Ballymena United
BAL
68%
20%
12%
56 71 15 +1
29 Jan. 2013
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
0 - 0
Ballymena United
BAL
37%
25%
38%
56 51 5 0

Matches

Donegal Celtic
Donegal Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2013
COL
Coleraine
0 - 0
Donegal Celtic
DON
76%
16%
8%
44 62 18 0
16 Feb. 2013
DON
Donegal Celtic
1 - 0
Ballinamallard United
BAL
24%
24%
52%
43 58 15 +1
09 Feb. 2013
CLI
Cliftonville
2 - 0
Donegal Celtic
DON
86%
10%
4%
43 71 28 0
02 Feb. 2013
DON
Donegal Celtic
0 - 3
Crusaders
CRU
10%
19%
71%
43 71 28 0
29 Jan. 2013
DON
Donegal Celtic
1 - 4
Linfield
LIN
9%
18%
74%
44 71 27 -1