Championship 1 Temporada Regular round 27

Ballyclare Comrades vs Ards FC analysis

Ballyclare Comrades Ards FC
46 ELO 46
5.9% Tilt 11.8%
3011º General ELO ranking 3831º
20º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
38.7%
Ballyclare Comrades
23.5%
Draw
37.7%
Ards FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
Ballyclare Comrades
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.7%
Win probability
Ards FC
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ballyclare Comrades
-26%
+4%
Ards FC

Points and table prediction

Ballyclare Comrades
Their league position
Ards FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
47
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Loughgall
69
69
100%
Warrenpoint Town
63
63
100%
Annagh United
55
55
100%
Dundela
54
54
100%
Ballyclare Comrades
47
47
100%
Ards FC
47
47
100%
Harland & Wolff Welders
46
46
0%
Ballinamallard United
46
46
0%
Institute
34
34
100%
Dergview FC
11º
33
33
10º
0%
Newington Youth
10º
33
33
11º
0%
Knockbreda
12º
28
28
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ballyclare Comrades
Ards FC
Promotion play-offs
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ballyclare Comrades
Ards FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ballyclare Comrades
Ballyclare Comrades
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
BAL
Ballinamallard United
2 - 0
Ballyclare Comrades
BAL
46%
24%
31%
46 47 1 0
04 Feb. 2023
INS
Institute
0 - 1
Ballyclare Comrades
BAL
45%
23%
32%
46 47 1 0
31 Jan. 2023
LOU
Loughgall
2 - 1
Ballyclare Comrades
BAL
67%
19%
14%
46 58 12 0
28 Jan. 2023
BAL
Ballyclare Comrades
1 - 2
Knockbreda
KNO
65%
19%
16%
47 38 9 -1
24 Jan. 2023
BAL
Ballyclare Comrades
2 - 2
Annagh United
AUN
23%
23%
55%
46 56 10 +1

Matches

Ards FC
Ards FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
ARD
Ards FC
0 - 1
Harland & Wolff Welders
HAR
41%
25%
35%
47 50 3 0
28 Jan. 2023
INS
Institute
1 - 1
Ards FC
ARD
42%
24%
34%
47 47 0 0
21 Jan. 2023
ARD
Ards FC
3 - 5
Warrenpoint Town
WAR
41%
25%
34%
48 52 4 -1
14 Jan. 2023
BAL
Ballinamallard United
1 - 0
Ards FC
ARD
35%
23%
42%
49 47 2 -1
07 Jan. 2023
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
3 - 1
Ards FC
ARD
33%
22%
45%
50 48 2 -1