Ballinamallard United vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 1
CLI
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
DON
1 - 0
BAL
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
COL
0 - 0
BAL
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 1
POR
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 1
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 1
DUN
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 0
POR
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIN
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
GLE
3 - 1
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
0 - 0
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |