Balkan Varvara vs Vitosha Bistritsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
52%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balkan Varvara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 1
BAL
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
5 - 2
BEL
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MES
2 - 1
BAL
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
STR
46%
24%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FKM
4 - 0
BAL
79%
15%
6%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Vitosha Bistritsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
FKV
4 - 1
KON
73%
19%
9%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
OBO
1 - 0
FKV
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FKV
4 - 2
GER
72%
19%
9%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FKV
0 - 2
PIR
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 1
FKV
20%
25%
55%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | +1 |