Regionalliga Sudwest round 27

TSG Balingen vs Ulm analysis

TSG Balingen Ulm
46 ELO 51
2.9% Tilt -4.8%
5283º General ELO ranking 968º
177º Country ELO ranking 39º
ELO win probability
29.1%
TSG Balingen
26%
Draw
45%
Ulm

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
TSG Balingen
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
45%
Win probability
Ulm
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
TSG Balingen
+3%
-4%
Ulm

Points and table prediction

TSG Balingen
Their league position
Ulm
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
12º
72
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ulm
72
72
100%
TSV Steinbach Haiger
71
71
100%
Hoffenheim II
69
69
100%
FC 08 Homburg
58
58
100%
FSV Frankfurt
57
57
100%
TSG Balingen
56
56
100%
Kickers Offenbach
55
55
100%
Stuttgart II
52
52
100%
Mainz 05 II
48
48
100%
Bahlinger SC
10º
46
46
10º
100%
VfR Aalen
15º
32
41
11º
100%
Barockstadt
11º
40
40
12º
100%
Astoria Walldorf
12º
34
34
13º
100%
Hessen Kassel
13º
33
33
14º
0%
Freiberg
14º
33
33
15º
0%
Wormatia Worms
16º
29
29
16º
100%
RW Koblenz
17º
27
27
17º
100%
Eintracht Trier
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
TSG Balingen
Ulm
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

TSG Balingen
Ulm
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TSG Balingen
TSG Balingen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2023
STU
Stuttgart II
0 - 2
TSG Balingen
BAL
49%
24%
27%
44 44 0 0
01 Apr. 2023
BAL
TSG Balingen
1 - 1
Astoria Walldorf
AST
64%
20%
16%
44 35 9 0
24 Mar. 2023
OFC
Kickers Offenbach
2 - 1
TSG Balingen
BAL
60%
23%
17%
45 52 7 -1
18 Mar. 2023
BAL
TSG Balingen
2 - 2
Hessen Kassel
HES
67%
19%
14%
45 37 8 0
11 Mar. 2023
HOM
FC 08 Homburg
2 - 2
TSG Balingen
BAL
56%
22%
22%
46 47 1 -1

Matches

Ulm
Ulm
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2023
ULM
Ulm
0 - 0
VfR Aalen
VFR
75%
17%
9%
53 38 15 0
25 Mar. 2023
ULM
Ulm
1 - 4
FSV Frankfurt
FSV
62%
22%
16%
54 44 10 -1
18 Mar. 2023
KOB
RW Koblenz
0 - 1
Ulm
ULM
8%
18%
75%
55 31 24 -1
11 Mar. 2023
ULM
Ulm
1 - 0
Hoffenheim II
HOF
57%
24%
19%
55 48 7 0
05 Mar. 2023
WWO
Wormatia Worms
0 - 0
Ulm
ULM
13%
20%
67%
55 37 18 0