Balikesirspor vs Çayelispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
8º
4º
16
9º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
22 | 62 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 58 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 55 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 54 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 50 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 50 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 49 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 41 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 36 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 36 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 34 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 34 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 27 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 25 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 16 |
16º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
64.5% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
17% | 82% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balikesirspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
YAS
2 - 1
BAL
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 0
BAL
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
MUL
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SIL
1 - 2
BAL
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
KEL
74%
17%
10%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Çayelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAY
0 - 1
SEK
22%
25%
53%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
CAY
0 - 2
YYS
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 2
CAY
15%
18%
68%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MAZ
1 - 1
CAY
11%
16%
73%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAY
2 - 2
YAS
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |