Balerna vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
60.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balerna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LUZ
3 - 1
BAL
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 2
HER
23%
23%
54%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 0
BAL
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BAL
4 - 0
EMM
14%
20%
66%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +4 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 0
IBA
12%
19%
69%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 1
FCM
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AAR
3 - 1
SAR
67%
19%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LSS
1 - 4
SAR
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
LUZ
0 - 0
SAR
41%
24%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FCS
3 - 0
SAR
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |