Bala Town vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 0
BAL
32%
24%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 4
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 1
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 0
BAR
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
BAL
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 3
TNS
30%
24%
47%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 2
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAE
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 3
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |