Bala Azul vs Abarán CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 2
BAL
24%
24%
53%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
YEC
0 - 1
BAL
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
BAL
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 3
BAL
15%
20%
64%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 1
BAL
35%
23%
43%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Abarán CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ABA
0 - 1
UDL
59%
22%
20%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ABA
1 - 0
RAA
54%
22%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
ABA
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ABA
1 - 0
YEC
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 2
ABA
51%
22%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |