Baden vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
44.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1986 |
SER
1 - 1
BAD
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1986 |
BAD
1 - 8
GCZ
17%
25%
58%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1986 |
STG
4 - 0
BAD
79%
15%
7%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1986 |
BAD
0 - 1
FCA
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1986 |
FCG
1 - 1
BAD
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
STG
2 - 2
LUG
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
LUG
0 - 2
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
LUG
2 - 2
ZUR
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
NEX
3 - 0
LUG
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCA
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |