Baden vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
BUO
2 - 0
BAD
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
BAD
1 - 3
ZUG
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 2
BAD
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAD
1 - 3
SOL
14%
19%
67%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 2
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
LUZ
0 - 2
DEL
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
FCS
1 - 0
LUZ
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
LUZ
0 - 1
BLA
10%
16%
74%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 1
LUZ
80%
13%
8%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
LUZ
1 - 1
BAS
25%
22%
54%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |