Bad Sauerbrunn vs Güssing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
11º
9º
21
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
70% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Sauerbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 3
BAS
13%
17%
71%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
5 - 5
DEU
35%
23%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
USV
0 - 2
BAS
25%
21%
54%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 4
OBR
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ALL
2 - 1
BAS
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Güssing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GUS
1 - 3
KLI
8%
14%
78%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 1
GUS
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GUS
1 - 2
46%
22%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PIN
5 - 0
GUS
84%
10%
6%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
GUS
0 - 1
LEI
15%
17%
68%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |