Oberliga Bayern round 32

Bad Kötzting vs Ingolstadt 04 II analysis

Bad Kötzting Ingolstadt 04 II
25 ELO 38
8.6% Tilt 4.9%
13538º General ELO ranking 5498º
814º Country ELO ranking 185º
ELO win probability
32.9%
Bad Kötzting
24.7%
Draw
42.4%
Ingolstadt 04 II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
Bad Kötzting
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.4%
Win probability
Ingolstadt 04 II
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bad Kötzting
-23%
+20%
Ingolstadt 04 II

ELO progression

Bad Kötzting
Ingolstadt 04 II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bad Kötzting
Bad Kötzting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2009
MEM
Memmingen
4 - 1
Bad Kötzting
BAD
57%
23%
19%
27 35 8 0
02 May. 2009
BAD
Bad Kötzting
1 - 1
Buchbach
BUC
41%
24%
35%
27 33 6 0
25 Apr. 2009
FRO
VfL Frohnlach
6 - 0
Bad Kötzting
BAD
62%
21%
18%
29 34 5 -2
18 Apr. 2009
BAD
Bad Kötzting
0 - 0
Würzburger FV
WUR
57%
22%
21%
29 26 3 0
11 Apr. 2009
ISM
Ismaning
1 - 2
Bad Kötzting
BAD
54%
23%
23%
28 30 2 +1

Matches

Ingolstadt 04 II
Ingolstadt 04 II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2009
ING
Ingolstadt 04 II
4 - 4
Erlangen-Bruck
ERB
54%
23%
23%
37 33 4 0
06 May. 2009
ING
Ingolstadt 04 II
5 - 1
Memmingen
MEM
47%
26%
28%
35 37 2 +2
02 May. 2009
SEL
Seligenporten
1 - 2
Ingolstadt 04 II
ING
32%
26%
42%
35 27 8 0
25 Apr. 2009
ING
Ingolstadt 04 II
1 - 1
TSG Thannhausen
TSG
58%
22%
20%
35 27 8 0
18 Apr. 2009
BAY
Bayern Hof
0 - 3
Ingolstadt 04 II
ING
50%
23%
27%
34 32 2 +1