Bad Hersfeld vs Würges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Hersfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
FER
0 - 2
BHE
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BHE
0 - 3
KIC
25%
24%
51%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
BHE
0 - 1
URB
33%
25%
42%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SWM
1 - 1
BHE
43%
24%
34%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
BHE
2 - 4
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
WUR
2 - 1
ESC
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
WUR
3 - 3
FSV
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
FER
2 - 1
WUR
37%
26%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
WUR
1 - 3
KIC
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
WUR
3 - 0
URB
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |