Bærum vs KFUM Oslo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.2%
13.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
7º
5º
32
3º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
STR
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GJO
4 - 2
BAR
63%
20%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 3
STB
31%
22%
46%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 0
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 0
STR
61%
19%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
KFUM Oslo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KFU
5 - 0
SAR
63%
18%
20%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HIS
0 - 4
KFU
12%
16%
73%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
KFU
5 - 2
SKA
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
OPP
0 - 3
KFU
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KFU
5 - 0
MJO
27%
20%
53%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +4 |