AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GAE
0 - 2
AZA
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
AZA
2 - 4
PSV
37%
25%
39%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 4
AZA
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 1
AZA
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AZA
3 - 1
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 1
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
WIL
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 0
HER
59%
22%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 0
UTR
46%
24%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PSV
2 - 1
WIL
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |