AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FEY
0 - 1
AZA
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
AZA
3 - 1
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RJC
1 - 2
AZA
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 0
AZA
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
AZA
2 - 1
TWE
32%
26%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 3
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
GRO
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FEY
2 - 1
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 0
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 2
ADO
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |