AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
AZA
1 - 1
FEY
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ADO
2 - 1
AZA
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AZA
1 - 1
NEC
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 0
AZA
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
RJC
2 - 2
AZA
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
RKC
0 - 3
SCH
24%
23%
53%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SCH
4 - 1
UTR
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GAE
0 - 2
SCH
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SCH
3 - 0
PSV
32%
23%
44%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
SCH
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +2 |