AZ Alkmaar vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 1
AZA
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
AZA
2 - 0
GAE
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
NAC
0 - 3
AZA
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
EXC
1 - 5
AZA
20%
25%
55%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
HFC
3 - 1
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
HFC
3 - 1
VIT
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
GAE
2 - 1
HFC
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
HFC
1 - 0
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
AJA
1 - 1
HFC
87%
9%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |