AZ Alkmaar vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 3
ZWO
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
BOS
2 - 2
AZA
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
AZA
2 - 0
FEY
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
UTR
0 - 0
AZA
50%
24%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
AZA
2 - 1
VVV
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
AJA
4 - 0
TWE
90%
7%
3%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
TWE
1 - 0
FOR
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
BVV
0 - 2
TWE
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
TWE
1 - 1
GAE
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
SPA
0 - 1
TWE
77%
14%
9%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |