Jong AZ vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
14º
11º
25
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 76 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 73 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 67 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 63 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 63 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 63 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 63 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 62 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 56 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 51 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 50 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 50 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 48 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 45 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 45 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 44 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 41 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 35 |
18º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 34 |
19º
|
29% | |
|
19º
|
8 | 21 |
20º
|
88.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18.5% | 70.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BOS
6 - 0
ALK
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ALK
6 - 1
RJC
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
QUI
4 - 3
ALK
30%
22%
48%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ADO
1 - 2
ALK
56%
21%
22%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ALK
0 - 1
KRC
40%
21%
39%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 1
ADO
36%
26%
39%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 2
FCD
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FCD
3 - 1
LOM
31%
23%
45%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCD
0 - 0
ARI
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 0
ALS
70%
17%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |