Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 0
AYR
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
AYR
4 - 1
CWB
61%
20%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
AIR
0 - 1
AYR
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AYR
2 - 1
FOR
55%
22%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 2
AYR
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DUN
5 - 0
STE
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 1
STE
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
STE
2 - 3
CWB
49%
23%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
STE
3 - 2
AIR
31%
26%
42%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
STE
0 - 3
DUN
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |