Ayr United vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 4
AYR
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AYR
0 - 2
GLA
12%
20%
68%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
5 - 1
AYR
67%
19%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 2
BRE
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
STE
1 - 1
AYR
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ARB
3 - 2
AIR
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
STR
3 - 2
ARB
45%
22%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ARB
3 - 0
FOR
50%
23%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ARB
3 - 4
STE
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GLA
5 - 1
ARB
81%
14%
6%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |