Aylesbury vs North Greenford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HIT
4 - 2
AYL
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AYL
3 - 2
NOR
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
AYL
1 - 2
WEF
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
WEF
1 - 1
AYL
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
AYL
1 - 1
LEI
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
North Greenford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 0
BUR
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 0
ARL
16%
22%
62%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | +5 |
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
LEI
1 - 1
NOR
74%
17%
10%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ASH
6 - 2
NOR
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 1
BIG
19%
22%
59%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +1 |