Aylesbury vs Arlesey Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
AYL
28%
22%
50%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
AYL
0 - 0
ARD
26%
22%
53%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
LEV
0 - 2
AYL
70%
16%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
AYL
4 - 1
CRA
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
AYL
1 - 1
DUN
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
MKI
1 - 2
ARL
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
NSA
6 - 1
ARL
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 0
ARL
67%
17%
15%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 1
ARL
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 2
ARL
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |