Aylesbury United vs Barton Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
AYL
0 - 3
YEL
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 1
AYL
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
AYL
1 - 2
BUR
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
AYL
1 - 0
ARL
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
AYL
1 - 3
BED
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Barton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
ROM
0 - 1
BAR
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 2
BUR
17%
22%
61%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
NUN
2 - 0
BAR
71%
19%
10%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ROT
1 - 0
BAR
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 2
ROM
32%
26%
43%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |