Avondale Heights vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avondale Heights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AVH
1 - 0
MEL
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
AVH
2 - 1
BEN
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AVH
2 - 1
SOU
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
OAK
0 - 0
AVH
48%
23%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
STA
1 - 2
AVH
6%
13%
82%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 1
OAK
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NGW
0 - 2
SOU
7%
13%
80%
|
42 | 11 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
HEU
2 - 1
SOU
14%
22%
65%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AVH
2 - 1
SOU
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 4
SOU
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |