Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
52.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
URA
1 - 1
AVI
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
AVI
1 - 3
JUB
32%
26%
43%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
FCY
0 - 0
AVI
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
AVI
1 - 0
GAM
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
AVI
4 - 5
KAR
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
NAG
1 - 2
KAR
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
SHO
2 - 3
NAG
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
NAG
3 - 0
KYO
86%
10%
4%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
SAN
2 - 3
NAG
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
NAG
2 - 1
SHI
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |