Avangard Kursk vs Kaluga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
ZEN
0 - 2
AVA
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 0
ZVE
42%
28%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ENE
3 - 1
AVA
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
3 - 0
AVA
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
AVA
2 - 0
CHE
61%
21%
17%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
KAL
1 - 1
MET
37%
27%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ENE
2 - 1
KAL
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ZEN
3 - 1
KAL
33%
29%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 0
KAL
19%
26%
55%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
KAL
2 - 1
TOR
16%
26%
59%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +1 |