Avangard Kursk vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 0
KAL
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
AVA
6 - 0
SAL
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
ZVE
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
FKK
0 - 3
AVA
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 2
MET
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 2
ZVE
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ARS
1 - 3
CHE
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
MET
2 - 2
ARS
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ARS
1 - 0
DIN
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
VIT
4 - 4
ARS
72%
18%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |